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    Cryptocurrency Daily Discussion - October 3, 2019 (GMT+0)

    Cryptocurrency Daily Discussion - October 3, 2019 (GMT+0)


    Daily Discussion - October 3, 2019 (GMT+0)

    Posted: 02 Oct 2019 05:08 PM PDT

    Welcome to the Daily Discussion. Please read the disclaimer, guidelines, and rules before participating.


    Disclaimer:

    Though karma rules still apply, moderation is less stringent on this thread than on the rest of the sub. Therefore, consider all information posted here with several liberal heaps of salt, and always cross check any information you may read on this thread with known sources. Any trade information posted in this open thread may be highly misleading, and could be an attempt to manipulate new readers by known "pump and dump (PnD) groups" for their own profit. BEWARE of such practices and exercise utmost caution before acting on any trade tip mentioned here.


    Rules:

    • All sub rules apply in this thread. The prior exemption for karma and age requirements is no longer in effect.
    • Discussion topics must be related to cryptocurrency.
    • Comments will be sorted by newest first.

    To see prior Skeptics Discussions, click here.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    IKEA just allowed an invoice to be paid via the Ethereum blockchain

    Posted: 02 Oct 2019 06:55 AM PDT

    In 2019 over 40m cryptocurrency wallets have been created, while in 2016 there were only around 8m digital wallets. These numbers are quite staggering to consider they’re based on the growth of one single crypto wallet provider.

    Posted: 03 Oct 2019 12:25 AM PDT

    I bought $1000 worth of the Top Ten Cryptos on January 1st, 2019 (Sep. 2019 Update)

    Posted: 02 Oct 2019 08:14 AM PDT

    I bought $1000 worth of the Top Ten Cryptos on January 1st, 2019 (Sep. 2019 Update)

    EXPERIMENT - Tracking Top 10 Cryptocurrencies of 2019 - Month Nine - UP 20%

    Full blog post with all the tables

    tl;dr - September marked the third down month in a row, Bitcoin maintains overall leader position followed by Litecoin, and Bitcoin dominance retreats a bit. At this point in the year the 2019 Top Ten portfolio is up +$195 (20%) which is about how much I'd be up if I just stuck to the S&P 500. I'll release the 2018 Top Ten update tomorrow.

    The Experiment:

    Instead of hypothetically tracking cryptos, I made an actual $1000 investment, $100 in each of the Top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap as of the 1st of January 2018. I then repeated the experiment on the 1st of January 2019. Think of it as a lazy man's Index Fund (no weighting or rebalancing), less technical, more fun (for me at least), and hopefully still a proxy for the market as a whole - or at the very least an interesting snapshot of the 2019 crypto space. I am trying to keep this project simple and accessible for beginners and those looking to get into crypto but maybe not quite ready to jump in yet.

    The Rules:

    Buy $100 of each the Top 10 cryptocurrencies on January 1st, 2019. Hold only. No selling. No trading. Report monthly. Compare loosely to the 2018 Top Ten Experiment.

    Month Nine - Up 20%

    September was another down month for the 2019 Top Ten. While not as bloody as August, all cryptos ended the month in the red except Tether and Ethereum, both of which ended September basically flat. Again, when Tether finishes ahead of the pack, you know it's been a bad month. This is now two months in a row that Tether has outperformed its Top Ten peers.

    We have now observed three straight downward months after a nice five month streak of either gains or sideways movement earlier in the year. The 2019 Top Ten portfolio is up +19.5% on the year, which sounds respectable enough, but here's some perspective: the end of May saw this same portfolio up +114%.

    The 2019 Top Ten portfolio is now up about the same as the US stock market as measured by the S&P 500 (see below). We haven't seen such similar performance since March 2019.

    Ranking

    Half the cryptos were on the move this month. Litecoin and Bitcoin Cash both dropped one position while EOS, Stellar, and Tether advanced. Tether actually moved up two places and now holds the #4 position. But again, when Tether gains/advances in rank, it's a sign of a bad month.

    Stellar clawed itself back into the Top Ten (again) so now Tron stands alone as a Top Ten dropout, replaced by Binance Coin. Tron is still way down at position #14.

    Only having one of the original cryptos bumped out of the Top Ten is actually much better than the 2018 Top Ten Experiment group, who already saw three coins drop out by September 2018.

    September Winners - For the second month in a row, I have to give it Tether. Ethereum finished second by not losing any value.

    September Losers - Although it managed to retain its position at #9, Bitcoin SV lost -36% of its value in September making it easily the worst performing crypto in the experiment. The second place goes to Bitcoin Cash, down -24.

    For those keeping score, here is tally of which coins have the most monthly wins and loses during the first nine months of this experiment: Bitcoin and Tether are now tied with two monthly victories each. Bitcoin SV has the most monthly loses and has finished last in four out of the first nine months of 2019.

    Overall update – Bitcoin and Litecoin lead the pack, majority of cryptos still in positive territory.

    BTC and Litecoin are convincingly ahead of their peers, up +122% and +80% respectively this year. My initial $100 investment in Bitcoin is now worth $226.

    The majority of the Top Ten cryptos are still either flat or in positive territory. The exceptions are Ripple, Stellar, Bitcoin SV, and Tron. Stellar remains squarely at the bottom, down -47% so far in 2019, followed by Ripple, down -29%.

    Total Market Cap for the entire cryptocurrency sector:

    For the third straight month, the total crypto market cap decreased, losing about $47B in September. The overall market cap is sitting around the $222B mark, a level we last saw in May 2019.

    It's not all bad news: there has been an increase of +74% in total crypto market cap since the beginning of 2019.

    Bitcoin dominance:

    September finally saw a decline in Bitcoin dominance, good news for the altcoin space. The 67.6% Bitcoin dominance figure is back near August 2019 levels.

    Overall return on investment from January 1st, 2019:

    I'm down about -$225 in September (after losing $300 in August and $400 in July). If I cashed out today, my $1,000 initial investment would return $1,195, a +20% gain. This is now about equal to what the stock market has returned (see below).

    I'm down significantly in my 2018 Top Ten Index Fund Experiment. If I cashed that group out today, the $1000 initial investment would return about $175, down nearly -83%.

    So, taken together, here's the bottom bottom line: after a $2000 investment in both the 2018 and the 2019 Top Ten Cryptocurrencies, my portfolios would be worth $1,370.

    That's down about -32%.

    Implications/Observations:

    Although the crypto space has seen three consecutive down months, the market as a whole is still up +74% on the year. In comparison, how have the 2019 Top Ten cryptos done? Up +20%. That's less than a third of the return of the overall market.

    As a reminder, in May 2019, the gains from the Top Ten and the entire market were both exactly the same amount: +114%. The last few months have seen that gap widen: for four straight months, focusing only on the Top Ten has been a losing strategy. This is reminiscent of last year as at no point in the Top Ten 2018 Experiment did the Top Ten strategy outperform the overall market.

    I'm also tracking the S&P 500 as part of my experiment to have a comparison point with other popular investments options. The S&P 500 is up +19% since the beginning of 2019. This is now equal to the 2019 Top Ten portfolio, a scenario we haven't seen since March 2019. For reference, the gap has been extremely wide at different points during the year. For example, the Top Ten portfolio was up +114% compared to +10% for the S&P in late May of this year.

    The initial $1k investment I put into crypto would have yielded +$190 had it been redirected to the S&P. This is now approximately equal to the value of the 2019 Top Ten Crypto portfolio.

    Conclusion:

    September was an eventful month for the Top Ten crypto portfolio: it marked the third straight monthly decline in value; Bitcoin's dominance finally retreated a bit; and the return of the S&P broke even with the Top Ten portfolio for the first time since March. As we head into the last quarter of the year, can the positive momentum that crypto held earlier in the year be recaptured?

    If you're just finding this experiment now, here's the backstory: On the 1st of January, 2018, I bought $100 each of the Top Ten cryptos at the time for a total investment of $1000 to see how they would perform over the year. I tracked the experiment and reported each month. The result? I ended 2018 down -85%, my $1000 worth only $150.

    After last year's experiment ended, I decided to do two things:

    1. Extend the Top Ten 2018 Crypto project one more year. The experiment is now in its 21st month. You can check out the latest update here.
    2. What you're reading now is the 9th report of a parallel project: this year I repeated the experiment, purchasing another $1000 ($100 each) of the new Top Ten cryptos as of January 1st, 2019.

    Thanks for reading and the support for the experiment. I hope you've found it helpful. I continue to be committed to seeing this process through and reporting along the way. Feel free to reach out with any questions and stay tuned for progress reports.

    submitted by /u/Joe-M-4
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    An in-depth description of the new memory based Proof-of-Work algorithm developed by Colin LeMahieu

    Posted: 02 Oct 2019 12:52 PM PDT

    Newsweek Covering Crypto in their "Moonshots" Segment

    Posted: 02 Oct 2019 01:57 PM PDT

    Last week in Litecoin - Transaction volume broke yearly highs, Segiwt usage reached 75%, Litecoin spotted at the Dolphins v Patriots game, Developers begin work on MimbleWimble +more

    Posted: 03 Oct 2019 04:19 AM PDT

    Nancy Pelosi's 27-year-old primary challenger owns bitcoin and wants 'practical' crypto regulations - The Block

    Posted: 02 Oct 2019 10:10 AM PDT

    Depth and Scale: What blockchain can deliver now - a GREAT video from EY Consulting!

    Posted: 03 Oct 2019 02:52 AM PDT

    Ernst & Young + Ethereum

    Posted: 02 Oct 2019 05:00 PM PDT

    Brave/BAT's R&D team publishes "VPN-0", the first distributed virtual private network (dVPN) that offers a privacy preserving traffic authorization & validation mechanism

    Posted: 02 Oct 2019 09:34 AM PDT

    Announcing Chainlink’s first virtual hackathon, in association with Coinlist

    Posted: 02 Oct 2019 03:04 PM PDT

    Coinbase restarts GBP bank withdrawals and deposits in the UK, upgrades XRP, XLM offering

    Posted: 03 Oct 2019 04:43 AM PDT

    CoinGeek Conference wraps up in Seoul, South Korea; Bitcoin SV {BSV} proponent Craig Wright denounces the king coin - OBN

    Posted: 03 Oct 2019 04:40 AM PDT

    Centrality {CENNZ}, Bitcoin Diamond {BCD}, THETA, Stratis {STRAT}, and Cosmos {ATOM} climb towards the zenith - OBN

    Posted: 03 Oct 2019 04:36 AM PDT

    Anyone else getting this error when trying to put in your seeds in Coinbase “Wallet”

    Posted: 03 Oct 2019 04:27 AM PDT

    SIA continues to break ground with used storage now at 571TB, a 239% increase since the start of the year.

    Posted: 03 Oct 2019 04:22 AM PDT

    How Cryptocurrency Transactions Work - Blockchain Explorer Tutorial

    Posted: 03 Oct 2019 12:03 AM PDT

    Did BitMax pump and dump this IEO into the ground?

    Posted: 02 Oct 2019 09:26 PM PDT

    I'm a teenager who just started and I'm wondering how to buy any currencies I can.

    Posted: 03 Oct 2019 03:19 AM PDT

    I got help from r/Bitcoin with setting up a wallet (Exodus) and now I need help actually getting currency. I'm starting out with $0.50 worth of BCH from someone kind enough to doante but I'm more interested in Ethereum and XRP.

    I tried mining using honeyminer using my PC I built (Ryzen 5 2600 and RX590) but my PC just crashes after 30 minutes of mining which sucks as it was projecting around $10 BTC every month which is all I want as a teenager wanting to save small amounts of any crypto that can go up in value.

    My grandparents agreed to buying if I can give them the cash so where can I buy using PayPal/debit/bank? Also any help with the crashing would be appreciated I'd run it by with a PC focused subreddit but they don't take kindly to miners.

    Thank you for any help you can give! I'm just trying to start up by dabbling tiny amounts in the major coins like BTC, BCH, ETH, XRP, LTC, and really any other currencies I can.

    Also I don't want to sound like a begger but if anyone wants to donate small amounts of and currency it would make my day :)

    submitted by /u/OhKodor
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    Samsung VR: Earn TFUEL by watching and sharing this VR stream (soft launch)

    Posted: 02 Oct 2019 09:16 PM PDT

    Blockchain and Cryptocurrency’s Dark Horse – Southeast Asia (1)

    Posted: 02 Oct 2019 11:27 PM PDT

    Bitcoin Isn't the World's Most-Used Cryptocurrency

    Posted: 02 Oct 2019 02:33 PM PDT

    Man turned gay after receiving Gaycoins to his cryptocurrency wallet

    Posted: 03 Oct 2019 01:29 AM PDT

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